Ontario Opens Niagara Casino Bidding With 9.75% Tax Rate

Owen Gaines

Owen Gaines is a professional poker player and author who has played an estimated ten million hands and written four poker strategy books.

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

• Ontario and OLG launched a Call for Investment for Niagara casinos on October 28, 2026.
• Up to three new operators may enter initially, each with a minimum $1.5 billion investment and a $100 million entrance fee.
• The province says it will apply a 9.75 per cent tax rate to gambling in Niagara.
• Responses to phase one are due December 3, 2026; no operator has been selected.
• The step follows an August 13, 2026 agreement that suspended MGE’s exclusivity rights.

The Ontario government and the Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corporation (OLG) opened a formal search for new casino operators in the Niagara Region on October 28, 2026. The Call for Investment could end the single-operator arrangement that has shaped casino gaming around Niagara Falls for years. Under the terms announced by the province, up to three new operators can enter the market, each committing at least $1.5 billion and paying a $100 million entrance fee. Ontario also says it will apply a 9.75 per cent tax rate to gambling in Niagara. First-phase responses from interested companies are due December 3, 2026. The province says the effort will draw more than $3 billion in direct gaming investment, plus more than $600 million in other private-sector spending, over 20 years. The announcement converts an August agreement with MGE Niagara Entertainment Inc. into a live procurement. It is a procedural milestone: no operator has been chosen, and no new casino has been approved.

What Ontario Announced

The Call for Investment is the first formal procurement step under the Destination Niagara Strategy, the provincial plan for the region’s tourism economy. According to the Ontario government’s October 28 release, the process runs in phases. In the first, experienced casino companies are asked to declare their interest in the Niagara market. A shortlist of those respondents then advances to a competitive round, where each must submit a detailed proposal for an integrated casino development.

The province describes the result as Ontario’s first competitive land-based gaming market. No more than three new operators will be admitted at the start. The release says the market could grow further once a 10-year fixed term ends, but only if measures of market maturity support it, including tourism indicators and how the operators perform.

Zee Hamid, Ontario’s Minister of Tourism, Culture and Gaming, said in the release that the strategy “is unlocking new opportunities to attract investment, create jobs and strengthen the region’s tourism economy.” Duncan Hannay, OLG’s president and chief executive, framed the effort as support for new hotels, entertainment venues and dining that would build on what Fallsview Casino Resort and Casino Niagara already offer.

Procurement details are handled through the MERX public bidding portal, according to the province. Responses to phase one are due December 3, 2026, and OLG has retained a Fairness Monitor to oversee the process and advise throughout. The release does not name any company that has expressed interest, and it does not give a date for the shortlist.

The Numbers Behind the Call

The announcement bundles several figures that apply to different things: what operators must pay, what the province hopes to attract, and what the wider strategy aims to deliver. The table separates them, using the Ontario government’s October 28, 2026 release. Amounts are in Canadian dollars.

Item Stated term
New operators admitted initially Maximum of three
Minimum investment per operator $1.5 billion
Entrance fee per operator $100 million
Gaming tax rate for Niagara operators 9.75 per cent
Further expansion considered After a 10-year fixed term
Phase one response deadline December 3, 2026
Direct gaming investment enabled More than $3 billion over 20 years
Additional private-sector investment More than $600 million over 20 years
Construction jobs More than 10,000

Read together, the figures raise a question the release does not answer. Three operators at the minimum would commit $4.5 billion, which is above the $3 billion in direct gaming investment the province cites. The release does not explain how the two numbers relate, so readers should treat the $3 billion as the province’s stated target rather than a cap or a floor. The entrance fees are simpler: three operators paying $100 million each would total $300 million, which the province says, together with higher economic activity, should offset revenue it loses from changes to MGE’s exclusivity.

The tax rate is the other headline number. The Globe and Mail reported that tax rates at the existing Niagara casinos vary by property and are not public, and that two unnamed industry sources put them above 40 per cent. The newspaper did not name those sources, and the province has not confirmed the figures, so they should be read as an unverified comparison. The only rate the government has published is 9.75 per cent for the new framework.

The wider Destination Niagara Strategy carries its own targets: more than 25 million visitors a year, an extra $3 billion annually for Ontario’s gross domestic product and roughly 46,500 permanent jobs. The release presents the gaming expansion as one pillar of that plan, built around private-sector money rather than government funding.

How Niagara Got Here

Premier Doug Ford announced the Destination Niagara plan in December 2025, according to The Globe and Mail, with a vision that included several new casinos, a theme park and airport expansion. The gaming piece depended on a legal obstacle: MGE Niagara Entertainment, which runs the two existing casinos for OLG, held exclusive rights in the Niagara Gaming Bundle.

That obstacle was addressed on August 13, 2026. The province announced an agreement between OLG and MGE under which MGE gave up its exclusivity rights within the bundle. MGE keeps running the two existing Niagara casinos for OLG, while OLG said it would launch a procurement later in the year to identify possible new operators. Doug Downey, then Interim Minister of Tourism, Culture and Gaming, described the deal as a step toward long-term growth. The October 28 Call for Investment is that promised procurement.

MGE is a division of Mohegan Tribal Gaming Authority, a Connecticut-based company, the Globe and Mail reported. The newspaper said Mohegan took over the two properties in 2019, under a 21-year contract with OLG. On a conference call in August, Mohegan chief operating officer Joseph Hasson said OLG pledged to make up any revenue decline at the Ontario casinos caused by new openings, according to the Globe and Mail. Hasson declined to give a figure, and he said the company believes the new commercial terms leave it in a stronger position in every scenario.

The October release adds that the province expects entrance fees and economic activity to offset any provincial revenue it loses because of the change to MGE’s exclusivity. It also notes that OLG has paid the City of Niagara Falls more than $256 million since 1996 for hosting the two casinos.

Why the Call Matters

For the industry, the main change is structural. Ontario is moving a high-traffic border market from a single service provider toward competition among several integrated resort developers. Each bidder faces a fixed entry price of $1.5 billion in investment and $100 million in fees, set against a tax rate that the province says reduces the burden on operators. The province also says the new framework will focus expansion on top-tier operators while keeping requirements that protect the public interest.

For the province, the plan pairs a standardized tax rate and a changed exclusivity arrangement with entrance fees, construction activity and tourism spending. Whether that combination pays off depends on factors the release does not quantify, including how much of the new spending is truly additional and how existing casino revenue responds.

For workers and residents, the effects are mixed in the available reporting. The province points to more than 10,000 construction jobs. Wayne Gates, the New Democratic Party member of the provincial legislature who represents Niagara Falls, told the Globe and Mail he will always support investment that creates good jobs, but said he has “serious questions about this announcement.” He called for consultation with residents and protections for casino workers.

The announcement also lands in a debate about gambling more broadly. Gates told the newspaper that online gambling is hurting bricks-and-mortar casinos, and the minister’s spokesperson, Scott Clark, said the government is committed to safer gambling and to linking people with prevention, treatment and recovery supports. Safer-gambling commitments were stated, but not detailed, in the coverage reviewed.

What It Does and Does Not Mean

The Call for Investment is a request for expressions of interest. It is not an approval, a license or a selection. No operator has been chosen, no site has been identified in the release, and no construction schedule exists. A company that responds by December 3 would still need to be shortlisted and then win a competitive process.

The 9.75 per cent rate is also described in future terms. The release says the province “will introduce” the rate and a new gaming framework, and the passages reviewed do not say which legal instrument will set it or when it takes effect. Until that is published, the rate is a stated government commitment rather than a rule readers can look up.

Some details differ between outlets. CHCH News reported that selected developers would receive an initial term of 30 years. The Ontario release does not state that term; it refers to a 10-year fixed term before the market may expand. GamingNewsNow could not confirm the 30-year figure in the official release, so it is reported here only as CHCH’s account and should not be read as an official term.

Critics also point to what has not been released. Rob Cerjanec, the Ontario Liberal critic for tourism, sport and culture, said in a statement that “The government has never released a business case for new casinos, and it should.” He noted declining casino revenue and foot traffic. The province has not published a business case, according to that statement, and the October release does not include one.

Niagara’s Market Today

Niagara’s two OLG casinos are the baseline against which any new development will be measured. The Globe and Mail reported that they attract more than five million visitors a year and generate more than $500 million annually for the province in gambling revenue. Fallsview and Casino Niagara reported US$199 million in revenue for the nine months ending June 30, according to the Globe and Mail.

Those figures help explain the province’s interest. A market that already draws millions of visitors, sits beside New York State and carries the Niagara Falls name offers a rare tourism anchor, and the province is betting that new resort-scale competition will enlarge it rather than split it. The Globe and Mail also reported that the 9.75 per cent rate is considered highly competitive with other North American jurisdictions, though that comparison is the newspaper’s characterization and not a figure the province supplied.

Not everyone is convinced the market can support more supply. Cerjanec pointed to falling revenue and foot traffic at casinos generally, and Gates linked pressure on land-based venues to the growth of online gambling. Neither claim comes with figures in the coverage reviewed, and the province has not responded to them in the release. Whether three more resorts add demand or divide it is the central commercial question, and it will be tested by the proposals that come in.

What Comes Next

The next fixed date is December 3, 2026, when responses to phase one are due. After that, OLG is to shortlist proponents and invite them into a competitive stage to submit detailed proposals for integrated casino developments. No date has been announced for the shortlist or for final selections, and the release does not say when a new casino could open.

Other open items include the legal form of the new tax rate and gaming framework, the shape of any community consultation the opposition has requested, and how OLG will oversee the process with its Fairness Monitor. GamingNewsNow will report new official steps as they are announced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Niagara Call for Investment?

It is a procurement launched on October 28, 2026 by Ontario and OLG. Phase one asks experienced casino operators to declare interest in the Niagara market, and shortlisted companies would then submit detailed proposals for integrated casino developments in a competitive process.

How many new casino operators can enter Niagara?

The province says the market will initially admit a maximum of three new operators. Further expansion could be considered once a 10-year fixed term ends, if market maturity measures such as tourism indicators and operator performance support it. Each operator must invest at least $1.5 billion.

What gaming tax rate will Niagara operators pay?

Ontario says Niagara operators will face a 9.75 per cent tax rate on gambling under a new framework. The announcement did not say which legal instrument sets the rate or when it takes effect, so the rate remains a stated commitment for now.

When is the first deadline for interested operators?

Responses to phase one are due December 3, 2026. Information for bidders is posted on the MERX portal. No date has been announced for the shortlist that would follow, and OLG has engaged a Fairness Monitor to oversee the process.

Will Fallsview Casino Resort and Casino Niagara keep operating?

Under the August 13, 2026 agreement, MGE Niagara Entertainment keeps running the two existing Niagara casinos for OLG. What MGE agreed to give up was its exclusivity rights within the Niagara Gaming Bundle, which opens the door to additional operators.

Has any new Niagara casino been approved?

No. As of October 28, 2026 the process is at the stage of inviting expressions of interest. No operator has been shortlisted or selected, the release identifies no site, and it gives no opening date. Any approval would come only after the competitive proposal stage.


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